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  • To create spatially explicit scenarios on demographic changes
  • To create spatially explicit scenarios on climate change
  • To create spatially explicit scenarios on land cover changes
  • To integrate the outputs of the three scenarios
 

WP3 is going to implement a set of models and tools for the production of demographic, climatic and land cover change scenarios at the Black Sea Catchment scale.
These individual scenarios will be integrated with a descriptive storyline in concordance with global scenarios such as those proposed in the UNEP Global Environment Outlook or the IPCC reports.

 

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D3.3 Land cover model inputs and efficient data model with possibilities to be updated


D3.4 Existing scenarios and data compilation on integrated scenarios using demographic, climatic, land cover from global and Black Sea Basin studies


D3.5 proposed demographic scenarios


D3.6 Delta-method applied to the temperature and precipitation time series - An example


D3.7 Proposed land use scenario analysis, model input parameters and allocation rules


D3.8 The enviroGRIDS scenarios